Appetite for Iraqi Oil Grows as Buyers Shun Russia

By Ruxandra Iordache for Argus Media. Any opinions expressed here are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Iraq Business News.

Iraq’s State Oil Marketing Organization (SOMO) has received requests for additional crude supply as buyers seek alternatives to Russian volumes, according to a senior Iraqi official.

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Iraqi Central Bank may Stop Financial Dealings with Russia

By Layal Shakir, for Rudaw. Any opinions expressed are those of the author(s), and do not necessarily reflect the views of Iraq Business News.

Iraqi central bank suggests halting business, financial dealings with Russia

The Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) on Wednesday suggested halting business operations and financial dealings with Russia following America’s far-reaching sanctions as the Russian invasion of Ukraine continues for the seventh day.

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Iraq Oil Exports Rise to $8.5bn in February

By John Lee.

Iraq’s Ministry of Oil has announced preliminary oil exports for February of 92,790,173 barrels, giving an average for the month of 3.314 million barrels per day (bpd), up from the 3.203 million bpd exported in January.

The exports from the oilfields in central and southern Iraq amounted to approximately 91,314,828 barrels, while exports from the Kirkuk fields through the port of Ceyhan amounted to 1,475,345 barrels. Although not stated explicitly, this implies there were no exports to Jordan by truck.

Revenues for the month were $8.54 billion, at an average price of $92.083 per barrel.

January’s export figures can be found here.

(Source: Ministry of Oil)

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JGC happy with Progress at Basra Refinery

By John Lee.

Japan’s JGC Corporation has said it expects its Iraqi oil refinery project to significantly increase its sales for the fiscal year starting 1st April 2022.

Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kadhimi laid the foundation stone for the new $4-billion Fluid Catalytic Cracking (FCC) complex at Basra Refinery in April 2021. The project will increase the refinery’s capacity by 55,000 barrels per day (bpd).

The company said that detailed design has begun, orders for major equipment are almost complete, and construction site development work is progressing smoothly.

Regarding recent sharp increases in equipment prices, it said that purchase of bulk materials will begin after detailed engineering work is started; while it will continue to
monitor the situation closely, it assumes no significant impact.

(Source: JGC)

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Iraq Finalises January Oil Exports

By John Lee.

Iraq’s Ministry of Oil has announced finalised oil exports for January of 99,286,078 barrels, giving an average for the month of 3.203 million barrels per day (bpd), down from the 3.277 million bpd exported in December.

The exports from the oilfields in central and southern Iraq amounted to approximately 96,430,596 barrels, while exports from the Kirkuk fields through the port of Ceyhan amounted to 2,545,656 barrels. Although not stated explicitly, this seems to imply exports to Jordan by truck 309,826 barrels.

Revenues for the month were $8.23 billion, at an average price of $83.825 per barrel.

December’s export figures can be found here.

(Source: Ministry of Oil)

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IDC Drills New Well at Majnoon

By John Lee.

The Iraqi Drilling Company (IDC) has announced that its technical and engineering staff have started drilling oil well MJ-129 in Majnoon oil field in Basra Province.

The Director General of the IDC, Bassim Abdul Karim, said that the planned depth of the well is 3,648 meters, reaching to the Mishrif formation.

He added that the drilling was done using the IDC 56 drilling rig.

(Source: Ministry of Oil)

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DNO Updates Oil Reserves

By John Lee.

DNO ASA, the Norwegian oil and gas operator, today announced it exited 2021 with 321 million barrels of oil equivalent (MMboe) of net proven and probable (2P) reserves, notwithstanding production of 34 MMboe during the year. The Company’s 2P reserves life stood at 9.3 years. Combined with contingent (2C) resources of 189 MMboe, DNO’s reserves and resources life stood at 14.8 years.

Of the total, the Company’s Kurdistan portfolio accounted for 267 million barrels of oil (MMbbls) of net 2P reserves compared to 295 MMbbls in 2020, and 71 MMbbls of net 2C resources compared to 27 MMbbls at yearend 2020.

Across its North Sea portfolio at yearend 2021, DNO’s net 2P reserves stood at 54 MMboe compared to 64 MMboe a year earlier. 2C resources totaled 113 MMboe compared to 120 MMboe at yearend 2020.

Effective from 2021, the Company reports its net production, reserves and resources based on the participation interest in all of its licenses. Prior to 2021 and for the licenses governed by Production Sharing Contracts, the Company reported its net figures after royalty and included DNO’s additional share of cost oil covering its advances towards the government carried interest (if any) as well as volumes attributed to the three percent of gross Tawke license production under the August 2017 Receivables Settlement Agreement. The main reason for the change is to improve comparability with peer companies and to show the Company’s share of production before the government take.

International petroleum consultants DeGolyer and MacNaughton carried out an independent assessment of the Tawke and Baeshiqa licenses in Kurdistan. Gaffney, Cline & Associates carried out an independent assessment of DNO’s licenses in Norway and the United Kingdom.

Full report here.

(Source: DNO)

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Genel Energy Updates its Oil Reserves

By John Lee.

Genel Energy plc has updated its oil reserves across its portfolio.

Net oil Reserves (MMbbls) 1P 2P 3P
31 December 2020 69.4 117.2 177.2
Production (11.6) (11.6) (11.6)
Technical revisions 4.8 (1.4) (28.9)
31 December 2021 62.6 104.2 136.6

International petroleum consultants DeGolyer and MacNaughton, working on behalf of the operator DNO, assess that Tawke licence (Genel 25% working interest) gross year-end 2021 2P reserves stood at 357 MMbbls, compared to 394 MMbbls at year-end 2020, after adjusting for production of 40 MMbbls and an upward technical revision of 3 MMbbls.

Pending further analysis of the performance of the Enhanced Oil Recovery project, Genel continues to hold 23 MMbbls of those 2P gross reserves in 2C resources.

At Taq Taq (44% working interest, joint operator), 2P gross reserves stood at 26 MMbbls at year-end 2021 (33 MMbbls at end-2020), following a downward technical revision of 5 MMbbls and production of 2 MMbbls. McDaniel & Associates carried out the independent assessment of the Taq Taq licence.

At Sarta (30% working interest, operator) Genel’s gross 2P reserve estimate relating to Phase 1A of the Sarta development remains unchanged, less production, at year-end 2021 at 32 MMbbls (34 MMbbls at the end of 2020), following production of 2 MMbbls.

Flow testing of Sarta-1D is currently ongoing, and the appraisal results of Sarta-5 and Sarta-6 will be incorporated into our assessment of the reserves of Sarta at the appropriate time.

(Source: Genel Energy)

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Ahmed Mousa Jiyad: Nullification of KRG Oil Contracts

By Ahmed Mousa Jiyad.

Any opinions expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Iraq Business News.

KRG’ Contracts, Laws and Oil Exports are Unconstitutional and Nullified, Federal Supreme Court Decides

Federal Supreme Court-FSC in Iraq issued, after ten years of debate and deliberate procrastination tactics, a long-waited constitutional verdict; a sweeping unprecedented verdict that could surely have very serious long lasting ramifications on the legality of upstream petroleum contracts and agreements concluded by Kurdistan Region Government-KRG and, consequently on the entire upstream petroleum sub-sector in the country.

The nine men judges took a majority, of seven, decision; all signed the verdict without specifying who the dissented are.  The Chief Justice, Chairman of the Court signed every of the 15 page verdict. FSC decisions, according to the 2005 Constitution are final, should be uphold, implemented and adhered to by all parties of the case and all other authorities in the country from now on.

The 15 page document, dated and publically announced on 15 February 2022, elaborated the case at length, which goes back to 2012, though, actually, the root of the case goes much earlier than that. Many, including myself, argued for years that KRG actions, laws, contracts and agreements contravene both the 2005 Constitution and earlier legal governing modalities, and thus, inflicting serious damages to the interests of the Iraqi people.

This is a quick brief intervention from me, as this verdict introduces substantive impacting game-changing rulings that eradicate the fate-a-comply, probably create a new normal in Iraq’s upstream petroleum and causing seismic uncertainty for IOCs in Kurdistan; there will be much more attention to and writings about the verdict, its pros and cons, and its ramifications in the weeks rather than months ahead.

What the Verdict Says

The following are my translation, wording and highlights of the specific components of the verdict:

  • KRG Oil and Gas Law number 22 of 2007 is unconstitutional and thus nullified for contravening articles 110, 111, 112, 115, 121 and 130 of the 2005 Constitution.
  • KRG is obliged to deliver all oil produced from oil fields in KR and other areas where the KRG’ Ministry of Natural Resources-KRGMNR had extracted oil from, and deliver all such oil to the federal government represented by the Federal Ministry of Oil-FMO and enabling FMO to exercise its constitutional authorities with regards to exploration, extraction and exporting oil.
  • FMO have the right to pursue and follow-up the illegality of oil contracts and agreements concluded by KRGMNR with all external parties, states and companies, regarding exploration, extraction, exporting and selling oil.
  • Obligate KRG to enable FMO and the Federal Board of Supreme Audit -FBSA to review all oil contracts concluded by KRG regarding export and sell of oil and gas to audit these contracts and determine the federal financial dues that KRG should re-pay back. And to determine KR share in the state budget to insure the delivery of the rights/ entitlements of KR’ citizens and governorates from the federal state budget without delay, after KRG implement all contents of this verdict and inform that to federal government and FBSA.

In addition to the above four basic items of the verdict, FSC made further important assertions throuout the document.

  • The federal authorities are constitutionaly mandated regarding soveriegn economic and trade external policy; therefore, it is not permissible that governorates and regions in all of Iraq exercise this exclusive role instead of the federal authorities; as such exercise by governorates and regions contravens the conctitution.
  • The Iraqi people have the rights to and should know all about oil and gas revenues and how such revenues are distributed since they are the owner of oil and gas.
  • KRG’ noncompliance with the federal authorities exclusive mandates regarding oil and gas had caused complications between the federal government and KRG and that in turn prevented the delivery of KR people share in the annual state budgets.
  • KRG should comply with and adheer to the constitutional exclusive mandates of the federal authorities including exclusive mandates regrading oil and gas exploration, extraction and export; such compliance enables KR people receiving their due entitlments from the annual state budgets.

And in a follow-up statement, FSC asserts that during the deliberations of a legal case before US courts in September 2015, KRG representative had, after losing the case, requested re-routing the oil shipment from US to delivery in Israel; the US court refused even that request. The rulling of that case was in line with and substantiates current FSC verdict.

What Next

The urgency of the matter and the scope of the FSC decision require taking promptly serious specific steps and actions to comply with and implement the said decision. For this purpose I proposed, on 15 February 2022, to the authorities, particularly the Federal Ministry of Oil forming a special team comprising well qualified experienced staff members and tasked with the following:

1- Receiving copies of all contracts signed by KRG for each oil/gas field and exploration block and all amendments to those contracts;

2- Receiving all documents, accounts, development plans and data relating to the development, production, export, cost and revenues relating to those fields to date;

3- In light of assessing the contracts and documents mentioned in the two paragraphs above, an “alternative model service contract-AMSC” is prepared to replace the current production sharing contracts/agreements- PSCs/As, and any other upstream contracts enforced by KRG; the proposed AMSC is guided by and premised on the experience of Al-Ahdab oilfield contract, which was converted from a production sharing contract to a service contract, and the service contracts signed by the Ministry resulting from the first four licensing rounds only;

4- Preparing alternatives and options to be presented to the IOCs contracted with KRG, including accepting the AMSC and then negotiating to determine the specifics and numerical values of the basic variables in it, such as remuneration fees, capital cost recovery ratio, … etc., in light of the specificity of the field concerned; or to relinquish IOC participation interest in the contracts signed with KRG; or any other feasible alternatives.

5- Publically announce that the presence of every IOC currently operating in the KR and do not comply with and adhere to the Federal Supreme Court decision is considered illegal and unconstitutional, and thus that company bears the consequences of its illegal presence and operation in Iraq;

6- Assessing how to deal with oil pipelines in the region, including the pipeline invested by the Russian company Rosneft;

7- Rapid, effective and constructive cooperation between the Ministry and the Iraqi Council of Representatives-CoRs, through forming a joint committee comprising members of known professional and legal experience, to approve the AMSC that would be the base for insuring CoRs approval of the final AMSCs upon concluding them with the IOCs operating now in the KR; this provides solid legal premise for any concluded AMSCs, reduces risks and enhances certainty.

8- Preparing a plan of action at the international level, through legal, diplomatic and oil industry means, to publicise FSC decision as widely as possible, its implementation and consequence of non-compliance by IOCs currently working in KR-Iraq;

9- Cooperating with SOMO for notifying international oil buyers, oil tanker companies, and insurance companies of the legal consequences of the Federal Court’s decision and consequence of non-compliance;

10 – Coordination with the Ministry of Finance regarding the implementation of FSC decision regarding articles relating to the KR share in the state budget law for the current year.

The federal authorities should act and act quickly, firmly, openly and transparently. This decision by FSC provides strong and timely support to Iraq’s case of arbitration that has been before ICC- Parise for years, a resolution of which is anticipated in the coming few months.

Officially so far, the National Security Ministerial Council, chaired by the Prime Minister convened on 16 February and tasked the Ministry of Oil to coordinate with KRG, the states and oil companies regarding the implementation of this verdict.

Views and Reactions

Expectedly, reaction to and views on the verdict were prompt and diverge; most are supportive but some are bewildered and very few are condemning; this is very natural and expected in the Iraqi discourse.

Reactions of Kurdish Barzani family, KRG and Kurdish Parliament in Erbil were sharp, harsh, hot-tempered and regrettable. Masoud Barzani says the verdict is “purely political and against Kurdistan”; KRG even accused the Supreme Federal Courte of being “unconstitutional” and vowed to “defend” its oil and gas contracts; a statement by the Kurdish Parliament followed similar line of accusations for refusing the verdict. This type of reaction weakens further KRG stand and contravenes its repeated claim for upholding and adhering to the Constitution!!!!!!!!

On the other hand, many other known Kurdish parliamentarians, politicians and parties are cautiously supportive.

But the most interesting socio-political development which could indicates a dramatic shift in the Kurdish public opinion and tendencies is a strong public statement endorsed by a big group of Kurds from inside and outside KR Iraq. The statement begins by welcoming the abrogation of KRG’ Oil and Gas Law, which it describes, “a Law through which political families monopolise all basic resources.

; it is a remarkable wakeup call and collective social action.

 

Final Remarks

FSC verdict is final; it inflicts serious blow to upstream petroleum legal foundations in Kurdistan Iraq; IOCs operating there are now put on notice and they are advised to prepare themselves for direct talks with the federal ministry of oil and, also, they should demonstrate that the sooner the better; their shares in the bourses might nosedive sharply and their Kurdistan expedition might be over. Keep watching shares movement on the bourses websites!

Also, the verdict asserts significant pro-transparency legal premise, i. e., the Iraqi people by virtue of their ownership of oil and gas, are constitutionally entitled to know all about upstream petroleum contracts, agreements, exports revenues, and how such revenues are shared and utilised for the best interests of all Iraqi people.

We all, including the members of the new parliament, should capitalise on this assertion when addressing the dubious deals and agreements concluded recently, unconstitutionally, by the care-taking government and the Ministry of Oil, particularly and precisely the agreement with the French IOC- TotalEnergies (which I addressed in three recent articles written in Arabic and circulated widely)

The 2007 proposed federal oil and gas law has been, for years, in a coma, now it is dead and buried; it is futile to revive it and so even to consider it as part of the “political deal” for forming the new “national majority” government, which some have called for!!

But, on the other hand, much is at a stake; we are, therefore, destined to witness many interesting developments and propositions, read and write about them. Stay tuned!

Click here to download the full report in pdf format.

Mr Jiyad is an independent development consultant, scholar and Associate with the former Centre for Global Energy Studies (CGES), London. He was formerly a senior economist with the Iraq National Oil Company and Iraq’s Ministry of Oil, Chief Expert for the Council of Ministers, Director at the Ministry of Trade, and International Specialist with UN organizations in Uganda, Sudan and Jordan. He is now based in Norway (Email: mou-jiya(at)online.no, Skype ID: Ahmed Mousa Jiyad). Read more of Mr Jiyad’s biography here.

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The Death of Oil Federalism? Implications of Court Ruling

By Bilal Wahab for the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. Any opinions expressed are those of the author(s), and do not necessarily reflect the views of Iraq Business News.

The Death of Oil Federalism? Implications of a New Iraqi Court Ruling

The legal decision and its political fallout are threatening some of the country’s key interests, including its aspirations toward federalism, its relations with Turkey, and its ability to attract sorely needed international investment.

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